Global and European Markets, Week of 19 January 2026

Global and European Markets, Week of 19 January 2026

Surface stability, underlying tensions As markets enter the week of 19 January 2026, a semblance of calm dominates. Systemic stress indicators remain contained, implied volatility is moderate, and major indices are confined to narrow trading ranges. Yet beneath this...
The EU-Mercosur Agreement: European Economic Balance, Regional Spillovers, Risks, Opportunities and Long-Term Outlook

The EU-Mercosur Agreement: European Economic Balance, Regional Spillovers, Risks, Opportunities and Long-Term Outlook

After more than twenty-five years of negotiations, the trade agreement between the European Union and the Mercosur bloc comprising Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay, stands as one of the most consequential trade initiatives in modern EU commercial policy. As the...
JANUARY 2026 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

JANUARY 2026 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

FOREWORD: THE ERA OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS We are now navigating a global economy in which traditional analytical categories are reaching their limits. This outlook synthesizes three complementary levels of analysis: market dynamics (trading data and financial flows),...
Market Outlook: Week of December 8, 2025

Market Outlook: Week of December 8, 2025

At a Glance Equities & Bonds: Markets on edge ahead of key U.S. monetary policy decisions and next week’s inflation indicators. Heightened volatility expected in bonds. Rates / Central Banks: Final significant week before the Fed’s...
Critical Week for Markets: Tensions, Transitions, and Opportunities on December 1, 2025

Critical Week for Markets: Tensions, Transitions, and Opportunities on December 1, 2025

Global Context : Markets & Macro Climate The week in Europe opens under a cautious mood: major European stock markets are expected to decline on Monday, awaiting numerous macroeconomic releases, notably manufacturing activity in the eurozone. On the energy and...
Market Outlook for The Week of 24 November 2025

Market Outlook for The Week of 24 November 2025

At a Glance Equities: Caution prevails as sector rotation drives volatility (AI vs. defensive plays). Rates / Central Banks: The ECB remains on hold; investors remain vigilant on rate trajectories and credit conditions across the eurozone. Energy (Oil): Brent trading...