Global and European Markets, Week of 19 January 2026

Global and European Markets, Week of 19 January 2026

Surface stability, underlying tensions As markets enter the week of 19 January 2026, a semblance of calm dominates. Systemic stress indicators remain contained, implied volatility is moderate, and major indices are confined to narrow trading ranges. Yet beneath this...
The EU-Mercosur Agreement: European Economic Balance, Regional Spillovers, Risks, Opportunities and Long-Term Outlook

The EU-Mercosur Agreement: European Economic Balance, Regional Spillovers, Risks, Opportunities and Long-Term Outlook

After more than twenty-five years of negotiations, the trade agreement between the European Union and the Mercosur bloc comprising Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay, stands as one of the most consequential trade initiatives in modern EU commercial policy. As the...
Market Outlook, Week of January 12, 2026

Market Outlook, Week of January 12, 2026

1. Global Macroeconomic Context: An Economy in Transition United States: A Softening Labour Market Amid Persistent Inflation The U.S. economy enters 2026 against a backdrop of a visibly weakening labour market following a pronounced slowdown at the end of last year....
JANUARY 2026 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

JANUARY 2026 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

FOREWORD: THE ERA OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS We are now navigating a global economy in which traditional analytical categories are reaching their limits. This outlook synthesizes three complementary levels of analysis: market dynamics (trading data and financial flows),...
Global Market Outlook: Week of 15 December 2025 (The Ultimate Liquidity Stress Test)

Global Market Outlook: Week of 15 December 2025 (The Ultimate Liquidity Stress Test)

As 2025 enters its final act, global markets approach a decisive inflection point: the transition to a structurally tighter liquidity environment. The week of 15 December serves as a crucial barometer of the market’s capacity to digest this new paradigm,...
Market Outlook for The Week of 24 November 2025

Market Outlook for The Week of 24 November 2025

At a Glance Equities: Caution prevails as sector rotation drives volatility (AI vs. defensive plays). Rates / Central Banks: The ECB remains on hold; investors remain vigilant on rate trajectories and credit conditions across the eurozone. Energy (Oil): Brent trading...