Market Outlook, Week of January 12, 2026

Market Outlook, Week of January 12, 2026

1. Global Macroeconomic Context: An Economy in Transition United States: A Softening Labour Market Amid Persistent Inflation The U.S. economy enters 2026 against a backdrop of a visibly weakening labour market following a pronounced slowdown at the end of last year....
JANUARY 2026 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

JANUARY 2026 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

FOREWORD: THE ERA OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS We are now navigating a global economy in which traditional analytical categories are reaching their limits. This outlook synthesizes three complementary levels of analysis: market dynamics (trading data and financial flows),...
When Globalisation Cracks: How Economic Fragmentation Is Reshaping Prices, Trade and Supply Security

When Globalisation Cracks: How Economic Fragmentation Is Reshaping Prices, Trade and Supply Security

Across policy circles and boardrooms, one word has quietly become unavoidable: fragmentation. No longer a theoretical concern, it has taken shape in the form of desynchronised supply chains, highly targeted trade restrictions, and a global race to onshore critical...
GLOBAL ECONOMIC & MARKETS OUTLOOK: NOVEMBER 2025                                                                                               Beyond the Soft Landing is the Great Sectoral Divergence

GLOBAL ECONOMIC & MARKETS OUTLOOK: NOVEMBER 2025 Beyond the Soft Landing is the Great Sectoral Divergence

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The global economy is navigating a multi-speed reality where traditional indicators mask radical sectoral transformations. While headline growth appears stable at 3.0% (IMF), beneath the surface we witness the most significant capital...