Weekly Market Note

Weekly Market Note

Week of 16 March 2026 This is not merely another week in the markets. It is a week in which global risk is being repriced in real time. The immediate catalyst lies in the Gulf: tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, Brent crude rising above $100 a barrel, and the...
The Fragile Edifice: AI Debt and Its Systemic Implications

The Fragile Edifice: AI Debt and Its Systemic Implications

The Fragile Edifice: AI Debt and Its Systemic Implications Introduction: Between Triumph and Vulnerability The artificial intelligence revolution is often depicted as an unstoppable, linear triumph. Yet behind the media narrative, financial, energy, and industrial...
February 2026 Economic Outlook

February 2026 Economic Outlook

Preamble: A global economy entering the age of conscious constraints The global economy in early 2026 is neither recovering nor booming. It is lucid.The great cycles of economic illusion like monetary abundance, frictionless globalization, cheap energy, geopolitically...
Market Outlook, Week of January 12, 2026

Market Outlook, Week of January 12, 2026

1. Global Macroeconomic Context: An Economy in Transition United States: A Softening Labour Market Amid Persistent Inflation The U.S. economy enters 2026 against a backdrop of a visibly weakening labour market following a pronounced slowdown at the end of last year....
JANUARY 2026 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

JANUARY 2026 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

FOREWORD: THE ERA OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS We are now navigating a global economy in which traditional analytical categories are reaching their limits. This outlook synthesizes three complementary levels of analysis: market dynamics (trading data and financial flows),...
When Globalisation Cracks: How Economic Fragmentation Is Reshaping Prices, Trade and Supply Security

When Globalisation Cracks: How Economic Fragmentation Is Reshaping Prices, Trade and Supply Security

Across policy circles and boardrooms, one word has quietly become unavoidable: fragmentation. No longer a theoretical concern, it has taken shape in the form of desynchronised supply chains, highly targeted trade restrictions, and a global race to onshore critical...