February 2026 Economic Outlook

February 2026 Economic Outlook

Preamble: A global economy entering the age of conscious constraints The global economy in early 2026 is neither recovering nor booming. It is lucid.The great cycles of economic illusion like monetary abundance, frictionless globalization, cheap energy, geopolitically...
Market Outlook, Week of January 12, 2026

Market Outlook, Week of January 12, 2026

1. Global Macroeconomic Context: An Economy in Transition United States: A Softening Labour Market Amid Persistent Inflation The U.S. economy enters 2026 against a backdrop of a visibly weakening labour market following a pronounced slowdown at the end of last year....
JANUARY 2026 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

JANUARY 2026 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

FOREWORD: THE ERA OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS We are now navigating a global economy in which traditional analytical categories are reaching their limits. This outlook synthesizes three complementary levels of analysis: market dynamics (trading data and financial flows),...
When Globalisation Cracks: How Economic Fragmentation Is Reshaping Prices, Trade and Supply Security

When Globalisation Cracks: How Economic Fragmentation Is Reshaping Prices, Trade and Supply Security

Across policy circles and boardrooms, one word has quietly become unavoidable: fragmentation. No longer a theoretical concern, it has taken shape in the form of desynchronised supply chains, highly targeted trade restrictions, and a global race to onshore critical...
GLOBAL ECONOMIC & MARKETS OUTLOOK: NOVEMBER 2025                                                                                               Beyond the Soft Landing is the Great Sectoral Divergence

GLOBAL ECONOMIC & MARKETS OUTLOOK: NOVEMBER 2025 Beyond the Soft Landing is the Great Sectoral Divergence

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The global economy is navigating a multi-speed reality where traditional indicators mask radical sectoral transformations. While headline growth appears stable at 3.0% (IMF), beneath the surface we witness the most significant capital...