The EU-Mercosur Agreement: European Economic Balance, Regional Spillovers, Risks, Opportunities and Long-Term Outlook

The EU-Mercosur Agreement: European Economic Balance, Regional Spillovers, Risks, Opportunities and Long-Term Outlook

After more than twenty-five years of negotiations, the trade agreement between the European Union and the Mercosur bloc comprising Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay, stands as one of the most consequential trade initiatives in modern EU commercial policy. As the...
Market Outlook, Week of January 12, 2026

Market Outlook, Week of January 12, 2026

1. Global Macroeconomic Context: An Economy in Transition United States: A Softening Labour Market Amid Persistent Inflation The U.S. economy enters 2026 against a backdrop of a visibly weakening labour market following a pronounced slowdown at the end of last year....
JANUARY 2026 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

JANUARY 2026 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

FOREWORD: THE ERA OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS We are now navigating a global economy in which traditional analytical categories are reaching their limits. This outlook synthesizes three complementary levels of analysis: market dynamics (trading data and financial flows),...
Critical Week for Markets: Tensions, Transitions, and Opportunities on December 1, 2025

Critical Week for Markets: Tensions, Transitions, and Opportunities on December 1, 2025

Global Context : Markets & Macro Climate The week in Europe opens under a cautious mood: major European stock markets are expected to decline on Monday, awaiting numerous macroeconomic releases, notably manufacturing activity in the eurozone. On the energy and...
Global Energy Markets and Geopolitics: A New and Uneasy Equilibrium

Global Energy Markets and Geopolitics: A New and Uneasy Equilibrium

Energy markets in late-2025 move like a constellation pulled by several gravitational forces at once: geopolitics, supply chains, climate imperatives, and shifting centres of economic growth. What emerges is not chaos, but a new and still fragile equilibrium that...