by Natalija Riabko | Feb 8, 2026 | Agriculture, All Markets, Bond Market, Commodities, Economic Fragmentation, Energy, EU, Forecast, Heavy Industry, Investing, Market Outlook, News, News of the day, Raw Materials, Steel Industry, Stock Exchange, Strategy, USA, World Markets
Preamble: A global economy entering the age of conscious constraints The global economy in early 2026 is neither recovering nor booming. It is lucid.The great cycles of economic illusion like monetary abundance, frictionless globalization, cheap energy, geopolitically...
by Natalija Riabko | Jan 19, 2026 | Agricultural Markets, Agriculture, Bond Market, Commodities, Energy, EU, Forecast, Investing, Lithium, Market Outlook, News, News of the day, Oil, Raw Materials, Stock Exchange, Strategy, USA, Weekly news, World Markets
Surface stability, underlying tensions As markets enter the week of 19 January 2026, a semblance of calm dominates. Systemic stress indicators remain contained, implied volatility is moderate, and major indices are confined to narrow trading ranges. Yet beneath this...
by Natalija Riabko | Jan 14, 2026 | Agriculture, Commodities, EU, Forecast, Investing, Mercosur, News, News of the day, Sustainable Growth, Sustainable Production, Trade Agreements, USA
After more than twenty-five years of negotiations, the trade agreement between the European Union and the Mercosur bloc comprising Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay, stands as one of the most consequential trade initiatives in modern EU commercial policy. As the...
by Natalija Riabko | Jan 13, 2026 | All Markets, Bond Market, China, Commodities, Energy, EU, Forecast, Investing, Market Outlook, News, News of the day, Oil, Oil Industry, Raw Materials, Stock Exchange, Strategy, USA, World Markets
1. Global Macroeconomic Context: An Economy in Transition United States: A Softening Labour Market Amid Persistent Inflation The U.S. economy enters 2026 against a backdrop of a visibly weakening labour market following a pronounced slowdown at the end of last year....
by Natalija Riabko | Jan 4, 2026 | Agricultural Markets, Agriculture, All Markets, China, Climate Change, Commodities, Economic Fragmentation, Energy, EU, Forecast, Green Energy, Heavy Industry, Investing, Japan, Lithium, Market Outlook, News, News of the day, Oil, Precious Metals, Raw Materials, Semiconductors, Steel Industry, Stock Exchange, Strategy, USA, World Markets
FOREWORD: THE ERA OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS We are now navigating a global economy in which traditional analytical categories are reaching their limits. This outlook synthesizes three complementary levels of analysis: market dynamics (trading data and financial flows),...
by Natalija Riabko | Dec 29, 2025 | Bond Market, Commodities, Economic Fragmentation, Energy, Forecast, Investing, Market Outlook, News, News of the day, Oil, Oil Industry, Raw Materials, Stock Exchange, Strategy, World Markets
As 2025 draws to a close, markets are navigating a period of extremely low technical liquidity, amplifying any potential surprise. This week is not about major directional moves, but rather the consolidation of year-end trends as investors prepare their...
